Considering selling my Mooney M20J

[carusoam]

1 hour ago, Bravoman said:

 Anthony your statement about entering interesting virus/economic times is the understatement of the century.

Reality will push things back into perspectIve...

Some really crummy players will be pushing the limits on broadcast TV... touting the end of the world as we know it....

The CEO of Starbucks was explaining how things are getting back to a modified normal... in their China stores...

 

Lets say a friend gets Covid-19...

1) He carries the virus for 10 days before the effects show...

2) He battles the disease alone at home for several days...

3) How Long is he contagious for?  Or is the end of the battle, the end of the virus in him...?

4) Does the virus die off completely, or...

• Like AIDS... is always looking to re-emerge...
• like Chicken Pox... re-emerges decades later as shingles...
• Do the experts even know?

5) Some viruses are more catchy, or lethal, or disfiguring than others...

6) This one is a fast spreading, catchy, ‘novel’ one...

7) Novel being the key word... for we don’t know how bad it can be... yet...

8) Spread of info is lightning fast... my home town announced our first case today...

9) Spread of mis-info is a constant battle...  a full time job at FB...

10) We can only afford this battle for a while...

 

The side effect...

It is pleasant seeing the world working more closely together over this...

A one-sided battle... for the most part...

Open communication seems to be saving human lives...

I’m looking forward to coming out the other side soon. (Seeking the definition of soon...)

Best regards,

-a-

[MikeOH]

On 3/18/2020 at 7:20 PM, Bravoman said:

 Anthony your statement about entering interesting virus/economic times is the understatement of the century. We have entered a time when every new flu and illness  will cause a shut down of the economic system. I believe that this is in large part driven by the press and the instantaneous news  cycle. And of course the press has an agenda. We all have to ask ourselves  whether this so-called pandemic is worth the destruction of an economy, not only here but worldwide, the loss of businesses, and working  people losing their security and livelihoods. From a risk utility analysis I would strongly suggest that the  projected loss of life  is a rounding error  in the grand scheme of things, when you consider other illnesses, automobile accidents, and everything else.   I have a nephew who is the general manager of one of the largest bar and restaurant groups in New York City. He told me that if this ridiculousness went on for more than six weeks, probably in excess of 50% of the restaurants in New York would be gone for good.  This is just an example of the ramifications of all of this. Food for thought. This, of course, is not directed at you but your post made me sort  of boil over as to what we are currently being subjected.

Software only let me give you one 'LIKE'; you should get 100.  Hell, make it 10,000 in keeping with lame 'statistics' we are being fed

[N9201A]

 From a risk utility analysis I would strongly suggest that the  projected loss of life  is a rounding error  in the grand scheme of things, when you consider other illnesses, automobile accidents, and everything else.

Everyone thinks this until it is their life, or the life of their loved one.

Like it or not, American policymakers (and certainly the ones empowered now) don’t make decisions based on a risk utility analysis. That’s why we have illegal (federally) marijuana, the death penalty, poor prenatal but huge proportions of medical care spent on those who’ll die within a few months. And why dollars exceeding the gross domestic are spent each year in DC and state capitols on lobbyists...

NOTE — I am NOT advocating a risk/utility analysis, others are I’m sure far more qualified (is Prof. Richard Epstein an MS-er?). But I’d note that the key is in the values placed on each factor in any equation, and there be the subjectivity!