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Everything posted by Stephen
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https://www.airforcetimes.com/news/your-military/2017/08/15/air-force-capt-lands-a-10-with-no-canopy-no-gear/ A gun misfired and his canopy departed uncommanded. Nose gear wouldn't fully deploy so landed emergently.
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Anthony, you are making me want to try a cup of Sanka, my only experience with it was regularly seeing it on my grandparent's shelf.
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When I see a sideways picture, kinda know what's coming next... the -a- swoopNfix
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Hi N201', Not a bit trying to educate you, I'm probably not qualified to do so. I am un-informed about the situation and actively trying to learn as information becomes available as significant bits seem to be emerging at least weekly... if not daily. I am a data analytics type so that type of thing is interesting to me; the graphs I shared I learned about yesterday. . Looking at them, even with assumptive error, the actuals to-date seem to support the *generalized* curve profiles. If those curves are even "right-ish" (hopefully they are not overly optimistic)... they pretty strongly suggest behavioral ramifications at the level of individuals, families and society. Maybe it would be personally preferable to just have the virus than what is going on now. Problem is that is that seems to be a non-choice. As the actual new case/death numbers illustrate, the challenge doesn't seem to be getting it...it seems the challenge is in keeping it to yourself once you got it, particularly as you may very well have no clue that you are infected or you end up in the hospital. If you are asymptomatic, who knows you may not be highly contagious..from what I have gathered "they" are still working that stuff out...like I said, new stuff all the time. When thinking about going with my gut and just getting out there and letting nature take its course, it seems that that approach has me risking a lot more peoples fates beyond my own...that is where it gets sticky. I also can relate to the economic/business concerns, I have a couple of business headquartered in AZ that I am highly invested in so definitely have skin in the game to say the least. Again, just suggesting careful consideration and maybe some contextual information to help that process. Best, Stephen
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I think all your call-outs are fair. I would think that it seems logical that the biggest influencer we have (barring an emergent/effective vaccine or something similar), and what public messaging seems to be managing to is behavioral based exposure management. There are definitely other factors that should have been factored in their analysis (environmental, temps, exposure imitation timeline, population density ...along with flaws in the model etc ) but it seems to follow that if we go "Italy" behaviorally, we'll get "Italy" as an outcome and those outcomes are what these graphs are trying to depict.
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I feel you N201; these socialization constraints are *very* frustrating for everyone. I suspect most people definitely identify with the desire to rage against the machine. That our media has, in recent years, largely forgotten the vocation of relatively factual, clinical journalism and instead taken political sides and rather massive artistic license with sensationalizing or flatly synthesizing the facts doesn't help a bit in our ability to trust public messaging through those channels. All very frustrating. We had our youngest daughter's college graduation canceled. She did 4 years at Truman University in Missouri and now will just get mailed a diploma for her BSRN work ... there are millions like her. One of those millions is her older sister. Her medical school graduation also canceled and she is crushed about it.... she understands...still crushed. Can you imagine going through the process of getting into medical school, working through those challenge and at the end of it all you an your whole class never graduating, ...just a diploma in the mail. Des Moines Univ won't even be able to do a "redo" later because all the freshly minted "baby docs" will be in residency and won't be able to peel away. I don't know if most people can even conceptually put that in their mental" pipe and smoke it," , but I sure struggle trying. In this world, who wouldn't want to take back a little control? This disease, the ever changing, constraining social protocols and the economic impact all profoundly s-uuuuu-c-k. That said, in the historical sense, these things are (so far) relatively smaller potatoes so there is that context. That said, ... we could make it worse: https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2020-03-29/coronavirus-choir-outbreak - this event occurred under guidance to avoid large gatherings, but prior to outright bans. Now, with much stricter city/state/federal requirements in place, the repercussions of having an otherwise innocent and wholesome event getting out of the cage could go well beyond just the biological blowback. With this nasty little virus, the problem is that if we throw off the social distancing protocols, we not only can have it blow up in our face - and really hurt ourselves and other people voluntarily involved with a gathering - more insidiously, we lack the power to limit the damage to those involved. What of the people ...particularly older folks... I might expose if I am one of the almost half of the mild or fully asymptomatic people who unwittingly become a viral Johnny Appleseed? What of the healthcare workers and their family's exposure if I or others I infect get sick? Check this out: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections (you can filter for your state). The error bounding on the bottom two graphs presumably are primarily influenced by our mass population behavior vis-Ã -vis social distancing/sanitation and our mass population behavior influenced by our individual behavior. Little bits make a gob and wherever we go we end up taking others with us. Maintaining discipline here may be a bit like hand flying hard IMC...trust your instruments and resist going emotive or relying on your seat of the pants feelings for orientation because the stakes are pretty high. I'm not saying don't go, but would very much suggest being exquisitely considerate in whether and how we do things. Just my $.02 Stephen
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Dog Flight Needed - Waco, TX to Tucson, AZ
Stephen replied to Skates97's topic in Miscellaneous Aviation Talk
Actually looks like I'm tied down for a few months on that trip now. We may have to try beech talk if nobody else on MS can do it. Anyone else heading from/through TX to AZ? -
how to get rid of CV by the first person who had it
Stephen replied to Jim Peace's topic in Miscellaneous Aviation Talk
Think he may have mentioned Chairman Mao at the end there... -
Dog Flight Needed - Waco, TX to Tucson, AZ
Stephen replied to Skates97's topic in Miscellaneous Aviation Talk
Thanks Anthony, yes looks like it adds a couple of hundred miles , not a big deal. @Skates97 do you know when this would need to go and how many dogs? -
Dog Flight Needed - Waco, TX to Tucson, AZ
Stephen replied to Skates97's topic in Miscellaneous Aviation Talk
I was kinda thinking of going to visit family in Bisbee, maybe in a month or so...? KHAE would be starting point, I don't have firelight handy but probably goes near Waco if I take the south route by El Paso/ Anthony gap. -
Cat-tastic! How to Fly with Feline Friends?
Stephen replied to irishpilot's topic in General Mooney Talk
Can we just pour our kitty a big bowl of this Nice Kitty elixer and when they have drank all they can take, put them in a crate with a big, thick, disposable towel...and go fly: -
I'm 5'11'' and I fit. , but unlike @Yetti I can't (effortlessly) reach the fuel take switch on the floor.
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I think that is a membership requested site that Paul manages. I am just north of @Robert Trask in Hannibal, MO. . That said, Robert may be on the south side of STL, making that bit of a trek.
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Hi Robert, I'm in Hannibal. You can sit in mine; it is a mid body. It will be representative of an F, J, K, If you fit there (probably will fit fine once seated), the long bodies even have more room.
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I don't know about Dan, but seriously my sister in law was *not* happy about finding a fattened Juniper and the back half of a bunny in her back yard. I don't know what to say, the Phoenix back yard cotton tails are a bit slow...
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He is in, lets just not ever mix the candidates in physical proximity...four more bunnies and Juniper will be an ace. (also, I think it would be hilarious if Mr. Bunny was voted MS Dog of the Year)
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Seems like some weekend flight time to me.
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@N9201A, I agree, I a just offering this "competition" as an excuse for us to share something (like the cars thread) that lets us see something positive and that builds community as a balance to what we are setting everywhere else on the news etc... Mooneys are cool, cars are cool, dogs etc are cool too....combine them and it is even better!
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Very nice Pic MrR!
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I watch Steveo 1kinevo ,flightchops,kermit weeks
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These guys are awesome!
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I think typically it has been done in General, that has the most viewership